According to the Office of Technology Assessment (OTA), Japan may pull
ahead of the U.S. in the race to bring new, high-temperature superconductors
to the marketplace. If the U.S. hopes to compete with Japan, American
industry must intensify basic research and work on applications and
potential manufacturing processes. In a study, done at the request of
several House and Senate committees, the OTA determined that the country
lacks a cohesive, focused strategy for developing superconductors
and applying them to commercial products. The U.S. may lead on the
science front, but this advantage will soon disappear if American
companies are not positioned to transform research findings into viable
products.
The report is not directly critical of Reagan Administration efforts
to promote the field, but indicates that steps taken to date are not
adequate. For example, research and development spending on superconductors in Japan in 1988 is virtually equal to the $97 million that U.S. companies will spend, and Japan has 900 people engaged in superconductor research compared with 625 in the U.S.
The OTA suggests that the U.S. drive to understand superconductors
and make useful materials is partly flawed because there is no
assurance of a long-term commitment by government or industry to fund
this research. The OTA report examines three possible strategies that
policy-makers may face in trying to shape a sustained and coordinated
superconductivity research and development program.
The first is a business-as-usual approach where the Department of
Defense pursues processing methods for super conductors to support
specialized defense needs. Concurrently, Department of Energy research
would be carried out through its ten national laboratories and with
industry and the university sector. A second and more aggressive course
would increase support for National Science Foundation-funded research
and establish a working group on commercialization of high-temperature superconductor
research. Industry, the university sector, and various government
agencies would be represented on this working group. Finally, the
government could establish a federal technology agency or a
cabinet-level department of science, which might centralize many
fragmented federal science and technology development efforts.
Beyond the federal research sector, there is a need to get industry
to conduct more long-term research. Government assistance will be
required, according to OTA, but should be less than 50% of any given
undertaking. Perhaps most importantly, OTA says that industry must be
stimulated to use research results in a timely fashion. Too many firms
are taking a wait-and-see approach and could find themselves
ill-equipped to compete.
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